Category: Kansas City Chiefs
This is part of our NFL Predictions series. The Jacksonville Jaguars face the Kansas City Chiefs in the first round of the NFL Divisional playoffs on Saturday afternoon. Let’s try to get the betting week started on the right foot with the wagers listed below.
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Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Kansas City Chiefs Spread, Moneyline, and Total Betting Odds
Spread +8.5 (-105), Moneyline +360 for the Jaguars
Spread -2.5 (-115), Moneyline -450 for the Chiefs
53.5 points total for the game
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Football Picks for the Divisional Playoff Round: Jaguars vs. Chiefs Best Bets and Player Propositions
For 1.5 units, take under 53 points (-110 DraftKings Sportsbook).
These two teams met in Week 9, with the Chiefs winning 27-17 at home just before the Jaguars began their second-half surge. The Chiefs are coming off a bye week, while the Jaguars needed a last-second comeback to beat the Chargers 31-30 last week. There is a lot going against the Jaguars this week, and it will be difficult for them to get back up for this game.
The Chiefs have won 15 of their last 16 home games, while the Jaguars have won six in a row overall. The Chiefs have lost six of their last eight home games. The Chiefs have a significant advantage in this game due to their top-ranked passing offense versus the Jaguars’ 28th-ranked passing defense.
In order for this game to go over, the Chiefs must score at least 38 points or the Jaguars must score in the mid-20s. Based on how I envision the game script playing out, neither seems plausible. If the Chiefs win, it could be 31-17, 31-20, or anything else and still come in under the total. However, I believe this game will be very similar to their previous regular-season meeting, which the Chiefs won 29-17.
Over 28.5 receiving yards for Marvin Jones (-110 DraftKings Sportsbook) for 0.5 unit
Marvin Jones stood out as one of the best values on the Player Props vs. Projections page for this game. His projected receiving yards are 38.8 compared to the 28.5 predicted (26.6).